國內工程機械發展曲折 難掩后市光明

  自去年工(gong)(gong)程(cheng)(cheng)機械行業陷入(ru)低谷后, 行業增速一直(zhi)緩慢前(qian)行,雖(sui)然不如(ru)前(qian)幾年的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)迅猛,但工(gong)(gong)程(cheng)(cheng)機械行業今年的(de)總(zong)體發(fa)展(zhan)趨勢也還是積極的(de),雖(sui)然發(fa)展(zhan)道路有一定的(de)曲折,但依然擋不住工(gong)(gong)程(cheng)(cheng)機械邁(mai)向光明(ming)的(de)腳步。

  盡管單看(kan)工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)(xie)(xie)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)發展不(bu)濟,但是(shi)與之(zhi)相關(guan)的(de)上下(xia)游產(chan)業(ye)的(de)發展還是(shi)樂觀的(de)。與之(zhi)密切相關(guan)的(de)產(chan)業(ye)之(zhi)一——地產(chan)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)的(de)發展必然(ran)也(ye)帶動了部分(fen)工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)(xie)(xie)企(qi)業(ye)。盡管房地產(chan)調控后,對工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)(xie)(xie)需求(qiu)影響巨大,特別是(shi)開發商暫停(ting)開工(gong)(gong)(gong)建設,只賣(mai)存量(liang)房。開工(gong)(gong)(gong)量(liang)的(de)下(xia)降和其他基(ji)礎設施建設資金缺乏,使得工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)(xie)(xie)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)產(chan)能過剩嚴重,利(li)潤空(kong)間(jian)也(ye)進一步被壓縮。不(bu)過,國(guo)家城鎮化建設為(wei)工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)(xie)(xie)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)提供(gong)了難得的(de)發展機(ji)(ji)遇,棚戶區改造以及保障(zhang)房建設也(ye)為(wei)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)提供(gong)了需求(qiu)保障(zhang),也(ye)給工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)(xie)(xie)產(chan)品提供(gong)了不(bu)小的(de)市場(chang)空(kong)間(jian)。

  此外,從近期發布的(de)工(gong)程機(ji)械上市公(gong)(gong)司營(ying)收情(qing)況來(lai)看,2013年(nian)上半(ban)(ban)年(nian)21家上市公(gong)(gong)司完成營(ying)業收入1185.49億元,同比(bi)下滑13.07%。好在(zai),由于去年(nian)下半(ban)(ban)年(nian)各(ge)主要工(gong)程機(ji)械企業開始(shi)采取(qu)較(jiao)為(wei)謹慎的(de)銷售政策,下半(ban)(ban)年(nian)基數較(jiao)低,因此預(yu)計以挖機(ji)為(wei)代表的(de)大部分(fen)工(gong)程機(ji)械品(pin)種下半(ban)(ban)年(nian)將實現(xian)同比(bi)轉(zhuan)正。

  對此,業內人士預計(ji)2013年(nian)將同2012年(nian)持(chi)平或(huo)保持(chi)小幅(fu)穩定(ding)的(de)增長(chang)態勢,2013下(xia)半年(nian)預計(ji)市場銷(xiao)售量將恢(hui)復性(xing)增長(chang)。但(dan)是(shi)仍然要看到(dao)整(zheng)個宏(hong)觀(guan)經濟效(xiao)益(yi)處于(yu)慣(guan)性(xing)下(xia)降階(jie)段,工程機械行業近(jin)(jin)幾年(nian)銷(xiao)售下(xia)降問題的(de)積累,使(shi)經濟效(xiao)益(yi)難(nan)以在近(jin)(jin)期回(hui)升,但(dan)是(shi)總體(ti)趨勢還是(shi)奔著(zhu)向上回(hui)升的(de),只是(shi),這條道路頗為曲折。